APRIL NEWSLETTERDENVER #4 MARKET | BOOMERS KEEP BUYING | RECIPE OF THE MONTH
DENVER RANKED 4TH STRONGEST HOUSING MARKET IN THE NATION
The last year or so has been a volatile one in housing, largely thanks to rising mortgage rates, which pingponged from the low 3% range to over 7% at one point in 2022. Those rates have eaten into buyers’ budgets, causing a pullback in overall demand – and home prices.
In the Denver metropolitan statistical area, though, even waning demand can’t alter the market much – not with the ultra-low supply the area is dealing with. In fact, despite the changes today’s higher mortgage rates have ushered in, Denver still ranks as the fourth-strongest housing market in the nation, according to the U.S. News Housing Market Index.
The number of for-sale listings in Denver is incredibly low. As of January, the region had just a 1.9-month supply of housing – well below the national 3.2-month supply. (For reference, around six months is considered balanced, where neither buyer nor seller has the upper hand).
Surprisingly, Denver’s less-than-two-month supply is actually an increase compared to the prior year. In December 2021, supply was at just 0.43 – meaning less than a half month’s supply was available on the market.
The low unemployment, low supply and improving customer sentiment, Denver’s housing market is poised to carry on strong. While increased builder confidence could lead to more supply, forecasts predict building permits will fall – at least for the next few months. This should keep supply low and demand strong for the area’s very limited housing.
BOTTOM LINE: Low inventory means fewer choices for Buyers, which means more competition on the few homes that do become available for sale. Prices will remain high and the Denver market strong for the foreseeable future.
BOOMERS KEEP ON BUYING
The share of baby boomers has surpassed millennials and now makes up the largest generation of home buyers, according to the latest study from the National Association of Realtors®.
The 2023 Home Buyers and Sellers Generational Trends report, which examines the similarities and differences of recent home buyers and sellers across generations1, found that the combined share of younger boomer (58 to 67 years old) and older boomer buyers (68 to 76 years old) rose to 39% in 2022, up from 29% the year prior. Younger millennials (24 to 32 years old) and older millennials (33 to 42 years old) have been the top group of buyers since 2014, but they saw their combined share fall from 43% in 2021 to 28% last year.
Why does this matter? It means Baby Boomers are cashing out on (likely) a ton of equity they built in the homes they raised families in. The homes they are selling will likely be repurchased by younger individuals looking to start their own lives. Meanwhile, Boomers are able to pay cash (or put a significant amount down) on a replacement property in which to spend their Golden Years. Many Boomers are downsizing and moving closer to family.
With any luck, inventory may rise as Boomers sell their long-time homes and settle into retirement and beyond in smaller spaces.
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